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King & Associates
Keller Williams Alaska Group
907-688-5464
907-351-9099
Fax: 907-865-6565
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Presented by: King & Associates

Anchorage Market update

In the midst of a mass of negative press regarding the US economy and housing market, the Alaska economy is holding strong with many positive indicators for the coming years.  Seemingly insulated from the economic waves of many markets in the lower 48 we are blessed with a considerably less radical adjustment in residential real estate.  After years of substantial appreciation, the market normalization being experienced seems overhyped based on the numbers.  Let's take a look.

According to current MLS data for the Municipality of Anchorage, below you'll find a 10 year overview of pricing that adds some perspective.

Year # Sold Avg. List Price % List Price
Change
Avg. Sold Price % Sold Price
Change
Avg. DOM
1997
3121
$169,369
NA
$166,964
NA
70
1998
3310
$177,072
4.35%
$175,767
5.01%
66
1999
3064
$182,333
2.89%
$180,702
2.73%
69
2000
2991
$189,624
3.84%
$188,006
3.88%
67
2001
3302
$208,462
9.04%
$207,120
9.23%
53
2002
3175
$223,356
6.67%
$222,522
6.92%
47
2003
3324
$237,402
5.92%
$235,942
5.69%
49
2004
3335
$261,774
9.31%
$259,903
9.22%
45
2005
3264
$294,132
11.00%
$292,355
11.10%
40
2006
3063
$318,284
7.59%
$315,489
7.33%
44

 

Nice steady growth with normal fluctuations.  Let me add to that the Anchorage detailed numbers for this year and last.

  New Listings Active Listings Sold Listings Months Inventory
Oct/2007 315 1,393 226 6.16
Sep/2007 342 1,473 216 6.82
Aug/2007 506 1,512 316 4.78
Jul/2007 512 1,433 277 5.17
Jun/2007 578 1,338 309 4.33
May/2007 558 1,223 260 4.70
Apr/2007 513 1,079 240 4.50
Mar/2007 468 1,025 222 4.62
Feb/2007 362 970 161 6.02
Jan/2007 383 980 153 6.41
Dec/2006 204 1,080 229 4.72
Nov/2006 272 1,195 234 5.11
Oct/2006 398 1,285 252 5.10
Sep/2006 501 1,351 285 4.74
Aug/2006 602 1,310 334 3.92
Jul/2006 582 1,160 284 4.08
Jun/2006 676 996 335 2.97
May/2006 583 801 284 2.82
Apr/2006 445 667 247 2.70
Mar/2006 418 639 237 2.70
Feb/2006 290 628 175 3.59
Jan/2006 326 627 167 3.75
Dec/2005 216 636 230 2.77
Nov/2005 291 641 259 2.47

Continuing is the trend towards larger inventories and longer market times.  But unlike many parts of the country sales are still solid and values are holding.  I recently attended a training conference in Chicago where top real estate agents from all over the country gathered to share our ideas and perspectives on how to best serve our sellers.  After several days and many conversations I left feeling very blessed to be in the market we have here in Southcentral Alaska.  One agent from Indiana shared that 70% of his sellers were having to bring money to the closing table.  In all the transactions we have done this year we have yet to see that. 

Bottom line, good properties, well marketed and priced right still go quickly.  Overpriced properties will still be there in spring.  Buyers have a great opportunity to take advantage to the large inventories.  Sellers have to excercise patience while keeping their properties in top showing condition. 

If you're interested in buying or selling in the next 12 months, give us a call and we'd be happy to provide you with all the information you'll need to make the best decisions.

Robert King - King & Associates of Alaska

Great value in Chugiak
19330 Dogwood Street, Chugiak $279,900
Living from Dining room
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STATUS: Active
• Bedrooms: 4
• Baths: 2
• Square Footage: 1956
• Lot Size: 15,750
• Style: Two Story Traditional
• Garage: 2 Car
• Heat Source: Gas
• Schools: Anchorage
• Taxes: $3,264

Markets Stable Nationally
Markets Stable Nationally

According to the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), sales of exisiting homes remained essentially unchanged through July. While increases were seen in the West and Northwest regions, these gains were offset by a decline in the Midwest. The overall national market for existing homes slowed 0.2 percent in July.  NAR still anticipates close to 5.75 million units to be sold in 2007.

Average Sales Price of Existing Homes by Region

Date 

U.S.

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

2004

$244,400

$273,600

$189,400

$215,600

$324,300

2005

266,600

297,000

203,800

231,700

363,800

2006

268,200

299,700

205,300

230,000

371,300

 

 

 

 

 

 

04/07

268,100

308,500

200,100

226,700

373,100

05/07

270,600

313,200

204,300

229,700

372,000

06/07r

276,500

318,900

210,600

237,500

375,200

07/07p

276,000

316,100

214,800

233,500

376,400

Statistics from the National Association of REALTORS®

The Wall Street Journal reported that the thirty year conventional, fixed rate mortgage was averaging 6.09% on August 31, which is down from 6.25% earlier in the month. NAR president Pat Combs explains that today's buyer still has some great financing options available. "For buyers able to qualify for conventional financing, there are ample opportunities in the current market" she said. “Availability and pricing of conventional loans are reasonable, and FHA-insured mortgage applications have been rising as low- and moderate-income buyers seek alternatives to subprime loans. If buyers are in it for the long haul, now can be a good time to get into your home."

July statistics for existing homes were mixed regionally. Sales for the Northeast region rose 1.0 percent, while the West region saw an increase of 1.8 percent. Existing home sales in the South remained unchanged from the previous month, whereas sales in the Midwest decreased 2.2 percent

 

 

FHA Mortgage Insurance Programs on the Rise!

President Bush has pledged his support to homeowners struggling in the aftermath of the recent mortgage market liquidity crisis.  Among a handful of initiatives, the president is calling for changes in the Federal Housing Administration mortgage-insurance program to let more people refinance with FHA insurance if they fall behind on their adjustable-rate loans. 

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernake echoed the president's concern for the well-being of consumers and our economy when he said the central bank was ready to take addtional action if needed.  Despite the recent half-point decrease in the discount rate, the Fed is clearly concerned about balancing the short term benefits of liquidity with the long-term challenge of inflation.

For Sale: $289,900
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Keller Williams Alaska Group, 101 W. Benson Blvd. Ste. 503, Anchorage, AK, 99503


 
Keller Williams Alaska Group
101 W. Benson Blvd. Ste. 503
Anchorage, AK 99503
Last modified 12/4/2008