King & Associates Keller Williams Alaska Group 907-688-5464 907-351-9099 Fax: 907-865-6565 101 W. Benson Blvd. Ste. 503 AnchorageAK99503
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Presented by: King & Associates
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Anchorage Market update In the midst of a mass of negative press regarding the US economy and housing market, the Alaska economy is holding strong with many positive indicators for the coming years. Seemingly insulated from the economic waves of many markets in the lower 48 we are blessed with a considerably less radical adjustment in residential real estate. After years of substantial appreciation, the market normalization being experienced seems overhyped based on the numbers. Let's take a look.
According to current MLS data for the Municipality of Anchorage, below you'll find a 10 year overview of pricing that adds some perspective.
| 1997 |
3121 |
$169,369 |
NA |
$166,964 |
NA |
70 |
| 1998 |
3310 |
$177,072 |
4.35% |
$175,767 |
5.01% |
66 |
| 1999 |
3064 |
$182,333 |
2.89% |
$180,702 |
2.73% |
69 |
| 2000 |
2991 |
$189,624 |
3.84% |
$188,006 |
3.88% |
67 |
| 2001 |
3302 |
$208,462 |
9.04% |
$207,120 |
9.23% |
53 |
| 2002 |
3175 |
$223,356 |
6.67% |
$222,522 |
6.92% |
47 |
| 2003 |
3324 |
$237,402 |
5.92% |
$235,942 |
5.69% |
49 |
| 2004 |
3335 |
$261,774 |
9.31% |
$259,903 |
9.22% |
45 |
| 2005 |
3264 |
$294,132 |
11.00% |
$292,355 |
11.10% |
40 |
| 2006 |
3063 |
$318,284 |
7.59% |
$315,489 |
7.33% |
44 |
Nice steady growth with normal fluctuations. Let me add to that the Anchorage detailed numbers for this year and last.
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| Oct/2007 |
315 |
1,393 |
226 |
6.16 |
| Sep/2007 |
342 |
1,473 |
216 |
6.82 |
| Aug/2007 |
506 |
1,512 |
316 |
4.78 |
| Jul/2007 |
512 |
1,433 |
277 |
5.17 |
| Jun/2007 |
578 |
1,338 |
309 |
4.33 |
| May/2007 |
558 |
1,223 |
260 |
4.70 |
| Apr/2007 |
513 |
1,079 |
240 |
4.50 |
| Mar/2007 |
468 |
1,025 |
222 |
4.62 |
| Feb/2007 |
362 |
970 |
161 |
6.02 |
| Jan/2007 |
383 |
980 |
153 |
6.41 |
| Dec/2006 |
204 |
1,080 |
229 |
4.72 |
| Nov/2006 |
272 |
1,195 |
234 |
5.11 |
| Oct/2006 |
398 |
1,285 |
252 |
5.10 |
| Sep/2006 |
501 |
1,351 |
285 |
4.74 |
| Aug/2006 |
602 |
1,310 |
334 |
3.92 |
| Jul/2006 |
582 |
1,160 |
284 |
4.08 |
| Jun/2006 |
676 |
996 |
335 |
2.97 |
| May/2006 |
583 |
801 |
284 |
2.82 |
| Apr/2006 |
445 |
667 |
247 |
2.70 |
| Mar/2006 |
418 |
639 |
237 |
2.70 |
| Feb/2006 |
290 |
628 |
175 |
3.59 |
| Jan/2006 |
326 |
627 |
167 |
3.75 |
| Dec/2005 |
216 |
636 |
230 |
2.77 |
| Nov/2005 |
291 |
641 |
259 |
2.47 |
Continuing is the trend towards larger inventories and longer market times. But unlike many parts of the country sales are still solid and values are holding. I recently attended a training conference in Chicago where top real estate agents from all over the country gathered to share our ideas and perspectives on how to best serve our sellers. After several days and many conversations I left feeling very blessed to be in the market we have here in Southcentral Alaska. One agent from Indiana shared that 70% of his sellers were having to bring money to the closing table. In all the transactions we have done this year we have yet to see that.
Bottom line, good properties, well marketed and priced right still go quickly. Overpriced properties will still be there in spring. Buyers have a great opportunity to take advantage to the large inventories. Sellers have to excercise patience while keeping their properties in top showing condition.
If you're interested in buying or selling in the next 12 months, give us a call and we'd be happy to provide you with all the information you'll need to make the best decisions.
Robert King - King & Associates of Alaska Great value in Chugiak
| 19330 Dogwood Street, Chugiak |
$279,900 |
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STATUS: Active
• Bedrooms: 4
• Baths: 2
• Square Footage: 1956
• Lot Size: 15,750
• Style: Two Story Traditional
• Garage: 2 Car
• Heat Source: Gas
• Schools: Anchorage
• Taxes: $3,264
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Markets Stable Nationally Markets Stable Nationally
According to the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), sales of exisiting homes remained essentially unchanged through July. While increases were seen in the West and Northwest regions, these gains were offset by a decline in the Midwest. The overall national market for existing homes slowed 0.2 percent in July. NAR still anticipates close to 5.75 million units to be sold in 2007.
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Average Sales Price of Existing Homes by Region
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Date
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U.S.
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Northeast
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Midwest
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South
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West
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2004
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$244,400
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$273,600
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$189,400
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$215,600
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$324,300
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2005
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266,600
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297,000
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203,800
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231,700
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363,800
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2006
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268,200
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299,700
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205,300
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230,000
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371,300
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04/07
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268,100
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308,500
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200,100
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226,700
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373,100
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05/07
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270,600
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313,200
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204,300
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229,700
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372,000
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06/07r
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276,500
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318,900
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210,600
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237,500
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375,200
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07/07p
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276,000
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316,100
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214,800
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233,500
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376,400
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Statistics from the National Association of REALTORS®
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The Wall Street Journal reported that the thirty year conventional, fixed rate mortgage was averaging 6.09% on August 31, which is down from 6.25% earlier in the month. NAR president Pat Combs explains that today's buyer still has some great financing options available. "For buyers able to qualify for conventional financing, there are ample opportunities in the current market" she said. “Availability and pricing of conventional loans are reasonable, and FHA-insured mortgage applications have been rising as low- and moderate-income buyers seek alternatives to subprime loans. If buyers are in it for the long haul, now can be a good time to get into your home."
July statistics for existing homes were mixed regionally. Sales for the Northeast region rose 1.0 percent, while the West region saw an increase of 1.8 percent. Existing home sales in the South remained unchanged from the previous month, whereas sales in the Midwest decreased 2.2 percent
FHA Mortgage Insurance Programs on the Rise!
President Bush has pledged his support to homeowners struggling in the aftermath of the recent mortgage market liquidity crisis. Among a handful of initiatives, the president is calling for changes in the Federal Housing Administration mortgage-insurance program to let more people refinance with FHA insurance if they fall behind on their adjustable-rate loans.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernake echoed the president's concern for the well-being of consumers and our economy when he said the central bank was ready to take addtional action if needed. Despite the recent half-point decrease in the discount rate, the Fed is clearly concerned about balancing the short term benefits of liquidity with the long-term challenge of inflation.
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Keller Williams Alaska Group, 101 W. Benson Blvd. Ste. 503, Anchorage, AK, 99503
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